How Big Will the SpaceX IPO Be?
Operated up to now as a private business, SpaceX will…
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $302.6M | $451M | $667.4M | $631.6M | $705.8M | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -38.32% | 49.05% | 48% | -5.37% | 11.75% | |
| Cost of Revenues | $32.6M | $29.5M | $32.9M | $48.3M | $71.3M | |
| Gross Profit | $270M | $421.5M | $634.5M | $583.3M | $634.5M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 89.23% | 93.46% | 95.07% | 92.35% | 89.9% | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | $2.4M | $624K | $341K | $2.9M | $7.5M | |
| Operating Expenses | $52.7M | $59.1M | $72.2M | $97.2M | $95.4M | |
| Operating Income | $217.3M | $362.4M | $562.3M | $486.1M | $539.1M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $219.7M | $363M | $568.9M | $517.6M | $578.8M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $43.6M | $93M | $122.5M | $111.9M | $124.9M | |
| Net Income to Company | $176M | $270M | $446.4M | $405.6M | $454M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $176M | $270M | $446.4M | $405.6M | $454M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $2.52 | $11.61 | $19.27 | $17.60 | $6.58 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $2.52 | $11.61 | $19.26 | $17.59 | $6.57 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | $69.8M | $23.3M | $23.2M | $23M | $23M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | $69.8M | $23.3M | $23.2M | $23.1M | $23M | |
| EBITDA | $231.7M | $378.7M | $577.7M | $500.8M | $564.3M | |
| EBIT | $217.3M | $362.4M | $562.3M | $486.1M | $539.1M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $302.6M | $451M | $667.4M | $631.6M | $705.8M | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $217.3M | $362.4M | $562.3M | $486.1M | $539.1M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $217.3M | $362.4M | $562.3M | $486.1M | $539.1M | |
| Period Ending | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $123.7M | $191.1M | $158M | $173.6M | $203.1M | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 66.29% | 54.5% | -17.34% | 9.87% | 17.01% | |
| Cost of Revenues | $7.5M | $10.3M | $12.1M | $17.7M | $31.4M | |
| Gross Profit | $116.2M | $180.8M | $145.8M | $155.9M | $171.7M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 93.92% | 94.63% | 92.32% | 89.82% | 84.54% | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | $513K | $1.9M | $129K | $173K | -- | |
| Operating Expenses | $12.9M | $18.8M | $18.9M | $28.6M | $22.6M | |
| Operating Income | $103.2M | $162.1M | $127M | $127.3M | $149.1M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $103.8M | $164M | $134.9M | $135.4M | $155.2M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $19.9M | $34.1M | $29.4M | $28.8M | $33.9M | |
| Net Income to Company | $83.8M | $129.8M | $105.6M | $106.6M | $121.2M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $83.8M | $129.8M | $105.6M | $106.6M | $121.2M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $3.61 | $5.61 | $4.58 | $4.64 | $1.76 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $3.61 | $5.61 | $4.58 | $4.63 | $1.76 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | $23.3M | $23.1M | $23M | $23M | $69M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | $23.3M | $23.2M | $23M | $23M | $69M | |
| EBITDA | $107.1M | $166M | $130.5M | $133.1M | $164.1M | |
| EBIT | $103.2M | $162.1M | $127M | $127.3M | $149.1M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $123.7M | $191.1M | $158M | $173.6M | $203.1M | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $103.2M | $162.1M | $127M | $127.3M | $149.1M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $103.2M | $162.1M | $127M | $127.3M | $149.1M | |
| Period Ending | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $378.1M | $661.9M | $617.6M | $686.7M | $772.4M | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cost of Revenues | $29.9M | $32.7M | $43M | $63.8M | $97M | |
| Gross Profit | $348.2M | $629.2M | $574.6M | $622.9M | $675.4M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | $1M | $2.3M | $3.4M | $5.3M | -- | |
| Operating Expenses | $56.4M | $65.3M | $98.2M | $92.4M | $89.9M | |
| Operating Income | $291.8M | $563.9M | $476.4M | $530.5M | $585.5M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $292.8M | $566.3M | $500.6M | $573M | $609.5M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $57.1M | $140.6M | $108.3M | $124.3M | $133.2M | |
| Net Income to Company | $235.7M | $425.7M | $392.3M | $448.7M | $476.4M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $235.7M | $425.7M | $392.3M | $448.7M | $476.4M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $8.85 | $18.35 | $17.01 | $19.51 | $10.41 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $8.85 | $18.34 | $17.00 | $19.49 | $10.40 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | ||||||
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | ||||||
| EBITDA | $306.9M | $580.9M | $490.5M | $548M | $637.5M | |
| EBIT | $291.8M | $563.9M | $476.4M | $530.5M | $585.5M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $378.1M | $661.9M | $617.6M | $686.7M | $772.4M | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $291.8M | $563.9M | $476.4M | $530.5M | $585.5M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $291.8M | $563.9M | $476.4M | $530.5M | $585.5M | |
| Period Ending | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | 2026-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $514.7M | $464.9M | $520M | $586.6M | -- | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cost of Revenues | $25.3M | $35.4M | $50.9M | $76.6M | -- | |
| Gross Profit | $489.4M | $429.6M | $469.2M | $510M | -- | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | $2.6M | $5.6M | $2.8M | $219K | -- | |
| Operating Expenses | $51.4M | $77.4M | $72.6M | $67.1M | -- | |
| Operating Income | $438.1M | $352.2M | $396.6M | $442.9M | -- | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $440.7M | $372.4M | $427.8M | $458.6M | -- | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $94.1M | $79.9M | $92.2M | $100.5M | -- | |
| Net Income to Company | $346.6M | $292.5M | $335.6M | $358M | -- | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $346.6M | $292.5M | $335.6M | $358M | -- | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $14.95 | $12.69 | $14.60 | $8.69 | -- | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $14.94 | $12.68 | $14.58 | $8.68 | -- | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | $69.6M | $69.2M | $69M | $160.9M | -- | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | $69.6M | $69.2M | $69M | $161.1M | -- | |
| EBITDA | $450.3M | $363.1M | $410.3M | $483.5M | -- | |
| EBIT | $438.1M | $352.2M | $396.6M | $442.9M | -- | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $514.7M | $464.9M | $520M | $586.6M | -- | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $438.1M | $352.2M | $396.6M | $442.9M | -- | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $438.1M | $352.2M | $396.6M | $442.9M | -- | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Equivalents | $283M | $428.2M | $517.2M | $730.5M | $371.4M | |
| Short Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Accounts Receivable, Net | $48.2M | $95.2M | $104M | $129M | $126.7M | |
| Inventory | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Prepaid Expenses | -- | -- | $4.8M | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Assets | $1.3M | $3.1M | $7.4M | $2.9M | $5.3M | |
| Total Current Assets | $332.5M | $526.5M | $633.4M | $862.5M | $503.4M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment | $81.7M | $81.5M | $88M | $91.4M | $123.7M | |
| Long-Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Goodwill | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Intangibles | -- | -- | -- | $21M | $35.2M | |
| Other Long-Term Assets | $3.2M | $2.5M | $1.3M | $4.8M | $10.1M | |
| Total Assets | $577.7M | $769.3M | $884.4M | $1.2B | $1.3B | |
| Accounts Payable | $13.3M | $17.9M | $23.4M | $22.5M | $27M | |
| Accrued Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Current Portion Of Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Current Portion Of Capital Lease Obligations | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Liabilities | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $21.4M | $50.9M | $39.6M | $44.4M | $46.6M | |
| Long-Term Debt | $2M | $1.4M | $2M | $1.2M | $453K | |
| Capital Leases | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Liabilities | $92.5M | $117.6M | $111.5M | $122.8M | $124.6M | |
| Common Stock | -- | $78K | $78K | $78K | $231K | |
| Other Common Equity Adj | -$2.7M | -$1M | $2.5M | $1.8M | $3.6M | |
| Common Equity | $485.2M | $651.7M | $772.9M | $1B | $377.5M | |
| Total Preferred Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Minority Interest, Total | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Equity | $485.2M | $651.7M | $772.9M | $1B | $1.1B | |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | $577.7M | $769.3M | $884.4M | $1.2B | $1.3B | |
| Cash and Short Terms | $283M | $428.2M | $517.2M | $730.5M | $371.4M | |
| Total Debt | $2M | $1.4M | $2M | $1.2M | $453K | |
| Period Ending | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Equivalents | $372.8M | $446.6M | $659.5M | $533.9M | $602.9M | |
| Short Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Accounts Receivable, Net | $82.9M | $139.7M | $126.2M | $122.6M | -- | |
| Inventory | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Prepaid Expenses | $2.5M | $2.9M | -- | $4M | -- | |
| Other Current Assets | -- | -- | $5.1M | $48.4M | -- | |
| Total Current Assets | $458.1M | $589.2M | $790.9M | $709M | $737.2M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment | $81.2M | $81.6M | $86.6M | $119.1M | $151.6M | |
| Long-Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Goodwill | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Intangibles | -- | -- | $21.3M | $35.8M | -- | |
| Other Long-Term Assets | $2.6M | $3.8M | $3.3M | $5M | -- | |
| Total Assets | $695.6M | $829M | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.5B | |
| Accounts Payable | $18M | $30.7M | $29M | $40.6M | -- | |
| Accrued Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Current Portion Of Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Current Portion Of Capital Lease Obligations | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Liabilities | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $29.1M | $43.6M | $47.4M | $57.3M | $67.9M | |
| Long-Term Debt | $2.3M | -- | -- | -- | $16.5M | |
| Capital Leases | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Liabilities | $94.6M | $107.8M | $114.8M | $123.4M | $157M | |
| Common Stock | $78K | $78K | $78K | $231K | $231K | |
| Other Common Equity Adj | -$2.6M | -$983K | $2.4M | $1.8M | -- | |
| Common Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Preferred Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Minority Interest, Total | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Equity | $601M | $721.2M | $964.6M | $1.1B | $1.4B | |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | $695.6M | $829M | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.5B | |
| Cash and Short Terms | $372.8M | $446.6M | $659.5M | $533.9M | $602.9M | |
| Total Debt | $2.3M | -- | -- | -- | $16.5M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $176M | $270M | $446.4M | $405.6M | $454M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $14.4M | $16.3M | $15.4M | $14.8M | $25.2M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | $28K | $8.4M | $10.3M | $12.5M | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | $27.6M | -$47.6M | -$13.8M | -$24.5M | -$610K | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Operations | $207M | $265.2M | $447.1M | $418.3M | $490.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | $5.1M | $15.5M | $19.2M | $36.4M | $29.7M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | $16.9M | -- | $1.7M | $3.6M | $440.6M | |
| Cash From Investing | -$26M | -$15M | -$21.4M | -$60.3M | -$471.7M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | $201.7M | $85.3M | $247.3M | $100M | $347.3M | |
| Special Dividend Paid | ||||||
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -- | $19.7M | $87.8M | $42.6M | $29.2M | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -- | -$1.8M | -$2.1M | -$1.6M | |
| Cash From Financing | -$201.7M | -$104.9M | -$336.8M | -$144.6M | -$378.1M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | $283M | $428.2M | $517.2M | $730.5M | $371.4M | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | -$20.6M | $145.2M | $88.9M | $213.4M | -$359.2M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | $262.4M | $573.5M | $606.1M | $943.9M | $12.2M | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $202M | $249.6M | $427.9M | $381.9M | $461M | |
| Period Ending | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $79M | $99.7M | $113.1M | $118.4M | -- | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $4.7M | $3.2M | $3.9M | $11.5M | -- | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | $28K | $2.8M | $2.2M | $3.5M | -- | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Operations | $90.7M | $132.5M | $111.4M | $126.6M | -- | |
| Capital Expenditures | $4.5M | $6.2M | $4.4M | $13.2M | -- | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | -- | -- | $352.6M | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -$5M | -$6.8M | -$4.4M | -$246M | -- | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | $21.3M | $23.2M | $25M | $36.8M | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | $8.9M | $30.2M | $10.2M | $6.4M | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -- | -$780K | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Financing | -$30.2M | -$55.1M | -$36M | -$43.1M | -- | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | $428.2M | $517.2M | $730.5M | $371.4M | -- | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | $55.5M | $70.6M | $71M | -$162.5M | -- | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | $483.7M | $587.8M | $801.6M | $208.8M | -- | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $86.2M | $126.3M | $107M | $113.3M | -- | |
| Period Ending | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | 2025-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $235.7M | $425.7M | $392.3M | $448.7M | $476.4M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $15.2M | $16.9M | $14M | $17.6M | $52.1M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | $5.6M | $10.9M | $11.2M | $14.9M | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Operations | $220.1M | $405.3M | $439.4M | $475.5M | $558.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | $11.8M | $17.5M | $38.2M | $20.8M | $44.1M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | $1K | $1.7M | $3.6M | $88M | $352.6M | |
| Cash From Investing | -$10.8M | -$19.6M | -$62.7M | -$230.2M | -$312.5M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | $141.5M | $245.4M | $98.1M | $335.5M | $147.8M | |
| Special Dividend Paid | ||||||
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | $10.8M | $66.4M | $62.5M | $33M | $14.7M | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -- | -- | -$2.4M | -- | |
| Cash From Financing | -$152.3M | -$311.9M | -$163.7M | -$371M | -$177.3M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | $57M | $73.8M | $213M | -$125.6M | $69M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $208.3M | $387.8M | $401.1M | $454.7M | $514.7M | |
| Period Ending | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | 2026-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $446.4M | $405.6M | $454M | $358M | -- | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $15.4M | $14.8M | $25.2M | $40.6M | -- | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | $8.4M | $10.3M | $12.5M | $11.4M | -- | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Operations | $447.1M | $418.3M | $490.7M | $432.2M | -- | |
| Capital Expenditures | $19.2M | $36.4M | $29.7M | $30.9M | -- | |
| Cash Acquisitions | $1.7M | $3.6M | $440.6M | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -$21.4M | -$60.3M | -$471.7M | -$66.5M | -- | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | $247.3M | $100M | $347.3M | $111M | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | $2.2M | -- | $3.3M | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | $87.8M | $42.6M | $29.2M | $8.4M | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -$2.1M | -$1.6M | -$14.3M | -- | |
| Cash From Financing | -$336.8M | -$144.6M | -$378.1M | -$134.2M | -- | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | $1.9B | $2.6B | $2.6B | $1.6B | -- | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | $88.9M | $213.4M | -$359.2M | $231.5M | -- | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | $1.9B | $2.8B | $2.3B | $1.8B | -- | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $427.9M | $381.9M | $461M | $401.4M | -- | |
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