Financhill
Sell
47

ZTO Quote, Financials, Valuation and Earnings

Last price:
$25.30
Seasonality move :
5.55%
Day range:
$25.00 - $25.42
52-week range:
$16.34 - $25.52
Dividend yield:
2.57%
P/E ratio:
16.95x
P/S ratio:
3.16x
P/B ratio:
2.88x
Volume:
2.6M
Avg. volume:
2.4M
1-year change:
22.83%
Market cap:
$19.4B
Revenue:
$6.2B
EPS (TTM):
$1.49

Analysts' Opinion

  • Consensus Rating
    ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has received a consensus rating of Buy. The company's average rating is a Buy based on 11 Buy ratings, 2 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings.
  • Price Target Downside
    According to analysts' consensus price target of $24.44, ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has an estimated downside of -3.35% from its current price of $25.29.
  • Price Target Upside
    According to analysts, the highest upside price target is $26.63 representing -100% upside increase from its current price of $25.29.

Fair Value

  • According to the consensus of 13 analysts, ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has -3.35% downside to fair value with a price target of $24.44 per share.

ZTO vs. S&P 500

  • Over the past 5 trading days, ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has overperformed the S&P 500 by 2.3% suggesting its relative strength compared to the major market average is strong at this time.

Share Buyback

  • ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. does have a share repurchase program in place at this time. The scale of a buyback program can materially affect share price and usually results in a higher earnings per share, all else being equal, when the share count drops.

Revenue Growth

  • ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has grown year-over-year revenues for 8 quarters straight. In the most recent quarter ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. reported revenues of $1.7B.

Earnings Growth

  • ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. has grown year-over-year earnings for 1 quarter straight. In the most recent quarter ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. reported earnings per share of $0.43.
Enterprise value:
17.7B
EV / Invested capital:
--
Price / LTM sales:
3.16x
EV / EBIT:
13.15x
EV / Revenue:
2.69x
PEG ratio (5yr expected):
3.84x
EV / Free cash flow:
11.97x
Price / Operating cash flow:
14.08x
Enterprise value / EBITDA:
9.85x
Gross Profit (TTM):
$1.7B
Return On Assets:
9.63%
Net Income Margin (TTM):
18.93%
Return On Equity:
14.11%
Return On Invested Capital:
11.15%
Operating Margin:
19.58%
Trailing 12 Months Fiscal Quarters
Period Ending 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30
Income Statement
Revenue $5.4B $5.8B $6.6B $1.5B $1.7B
Gross Profit $1.6B $1.8B $1.7B $465.3M $413M
Operating Income $1.3B $1.4B $1.3B $389.3M $324.6M
EBITDA $1.7B $1.9B $1.8B $491.3M $445M
Diluted EPS $1.48 $1.43 $1.49 $0.40 $0.43
Period Ending 2021-09-30 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30
Balance Sheet
Current Assets $2.9B $3.9B $3.4B $4.3B $4.7B
Total Assets $9.4B $10.9B $12B $13.3B $12.7B
Current Liabilities $2B $2.5B $2.9B $4.5B $3.4B
Total Liabilities $2.1B $3.6B $4B $4.6B $3.5B
Total Equity $7.3B $7.4B $8B $8.7B $9.2B
Total Debt $92.5M $1.1B $1B $53.3M $82.1M
Trailing 12 Months Fiscal Quarters
Period Ending 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30 2024-09-30 2025-09-30
Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow Operations $1.8B $1.7B $1.5B $434.9M $448.9M
Cash From Investing -$2.5B -$1.1B -$254.5M -$268.7M -$62.9M
Cash From Financing -$87.6M -$434.7M -$1.5B $1.3M -$924.7M
Free Cash Flow $1.8B $1.7B $1.5B $479.5M $448.9M
ZTO
Sector
Market Cap
$19.4B
$477M
Price % of 52-Week High
99.1%
84.06%
Dividend Yield
2.57%
0%
Shareholder Yield
5.48%
1.68%
1-Year Price Total Return
22.83%
--
Beta (5-Year)
-0.183
0.541
Dividend yield:
2.57%
Annualized payout:
$0.97
Payout ratio:
--
Growth streak:
2 years

Technicals

8-day SMA
Buy
Level $24.96
200-day SMA
Buy
Level $19.73
Bollinger Bands (100)
Buy
Level 18.99 - 22.69
Chaikin Money Flow
Buy
Level 2.1M
20-day SMA
Buy
Level $23.51
Relative Strength Index (RSI14)
Buy
Level 74.39
ADX Line
Sell
Level 12.82
Williams %R
Sell
Level -6.0052
50-day SMA
Buy
Level $22.33
MACD (12, 26)
Buy
Level 4.77
25-day Aroon Oscillator
Buy
Level 68
On Balance Volume
Neutral
Level 841.5K

Financial Scores

Buy
Altman Z-Score (Annual)
Level (3.8108)
Buy
CA Score (Annual)
Level (1.0757)
Sell
Beneish M-Score (Annual)
Level (-1.3162)
Buy
Momentum Score
Level (6)
Buy
Ohlson Score
Level (-2.5621)
Buy
Piotroski F Score (Annual)
Level (7)
Sell
Quality Ratio Score
Level (5)
Buy
Fundamental Score
Level (9)

Revenue Forecast

Earnings per Share Forecast

Company Profile

ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. engages in the provision of comprehensive logistics services. It offers express delivery and value-added logistics services through a nationwide network partner. It operates through the Express Delivery and Freight Forwarding segments. The Express Delivery segment provides services directly to corporate customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, as well as delivering products to end consumers The company was founded by Mei Song Lai on May 8, 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock Forecast FAQ

In the current month, ZTO has received 11 Buy ratings 2 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The ZTO average analyst price target in the past 3 months is $24.44.

  • Where Will ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Stock Be In 1 Year?

    According to analysts, the consensus estimate is that ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. share price will drop to $24.44 per share over the next 12 months.

  • What Do Analysts Say About ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc.?

    Analysts are divided on their view about ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. share price and where it will be in the next 12 months. The majority of analysts rate the stock a Buy. However, a smaller subset of analysts suggest that ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. is a Sell and believe this share price will rise from its current level to $20.58.

  • What Is ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc.'s Price Target?

    The price target for ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. over the next 1-year time period is forecast to be $24.44 according to 13 Wall Street analysts, 11 of them rate the stock a Buy, 0 rate the stock a Sell, and 2 analysts rate the stock a Hold.

  • Is ZTO A Buy, Sell Or Hold?

    According to Wall Street analysts, the consensus rating for ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. is a Buy. 11 of 13 analysts rate the stock a Buy at this time.

  • How Can I Buy Shares Of ZTO?

    You can purchase shares of ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. via an online brokerage firm such as TD Ameritrade.com, thinkorswim.com, e-trade.com, or Schwab.com. Many other digital online brokerages exist such as RobinHood and Webull where you can purchase ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. shares.

  • What Is The ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Share Price Today?

    ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. was last trading at $25.30 per share. This represents the most recent stock quote for ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc.. Yesterday, ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. closed at $25.29 per share.

  • How To Buy ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. Stock Online?

    In order to purchase ZTO Express (Cayman), Inc. stock online, open a brokerage account, deposit funds into the account, and select an order type to purchase shares whether it be market or limit.

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