What Is The Target Price for TSMC Stock?

If you’re not familiar with Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM), also known as TSMC, then you’ve been missing out on one of the most game-changing companies in the tech world. They’ve been churning out 5nm and 7nm chips like nobody’s business, and guess what? They’re not stopping there.

The company is gearing up for 3nm and 2nm chips that could redefine the entire semiconductor landscape. It’s like they’ve got a Midas touch, but for innovation in chip technology.

We’ll lift the lid on what makes TSM special but let’s first address the question of what is the target price for TSMC stock? Analysts consensus have fair value for TSM at $117.01 per share. Our own analysis of cash flows is slightly more conservative and puts the intrinsic value closer to $105 per share, which would suggest about 18% upside.

Fueling the Surge in Artificial Intelligence

Ever curious about what fuels those jaw-dropping AI algorithms that are revolutionizing pretty much everything? The heartbeat of this technology often comes from chips crafted with wizardry, and that’s where TSMC steps into the limelight. With each chip generation they unleash, TSMC not only amps up performance but does so while sipping—not gulping—electricity.

But their magic doesn’t end with energy thriftiness. A peek at their Price/Cash Flow ratio, clocking in at a robust 10.50, reveals that they’re pros at making money work for them. Let’s get real: TSMC isn’t bulletproof. In fact, a staggering 33% of their Q2 revenue came from smartphone sales alone. So, when consumers clutch their wallets a little tighter, TSMC takes the hit—a 14% dip in quarterly revenue, to be exact.

However, don’t mistake this for TSMC being in dire straits. Their debt/equity ratio is an enviable 28%, a clear indicator that management has their fiscal house in order. In short, TSMC remains a solid bet for the long game.

Another enticing number is the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.21. In layman’s terms, this suggests that the stock might be an underrated gem ripe for picking.

Dividend Lover? TSMC Has Your Back

For those who enjoy a steady income stream from their investments, TSMC offers a dividend yield of 1.62%, which turns into an annualized payout of $1.3872. Don’t fret about them going broke to pay you, either—their payout ratio stands at a healthy 29.54%, meaning they’re spreading the love without jeopardizing their balance sheet.

Granted, not all numbers are equally rosy. The Price/Sales ratio of 6.85 and Price/Book north of 4 aren’t show-stoppers. But overall, Wall Street seems to be undervaluing TSMC, especially when it comes to cash flow.

The Tale of the Tape, TSMC vs. AMD

Now, let’s zoom out a bit. In a year where AI is practically everywhere, both AMD and TSMC have caught some rays. AMD, famous for chips tailor-made for AI, has watched its stock balloon by a remarkable 43% this year. TSMC, the often-overlooked maestro behind many of AMD’s chips, hasn’t slouched either, showcasing a 26% uptick in its shares.

So, who’s the tech titan worthy of your investment bucks? If you’re inclined toward a balanced mix of growth and financial steadiness, TSMC is your port in the storm. But if you’ve got a penchant for the fast lane of cutting-edge tech and can handle the turbulence, AMD could be your ticket to financial nirvana.

The Big Picture

All the tech heavyweights, from Apple and Nvidia to, yes, AMD, are scrambling for TSMC’s silicon marvels. It’s not just because they make top-notch chips; it’s because these chips are versatile dynamos, powering everything from your latest smartphone to the data centers fueling your binge-watching sessions.

The takeaway? Taiwan Semiconductor is more than just a stock to watch—it’s a stock you might want to own, like, yesterday. It’s a package deal: innovation, financial stability, and a dividend that keeps on delivering. Considering its resilience and an array of attractive metrics, you could argue it’s practically a “must-own” as we cruise into 2024.

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The author has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Financhill has a disclosure policy. This post may contain affiliate links or links from our sponsors.